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I am often ask what the conditions are going to be ... well other than being able to look out of my window on the morning I can't really tell...
This said there are a couple of "truisms" about Cape Town...(at least I've found them to hold true..)
Firstly... "Red sky at night, sailor's delight,: Red sky at morning, sailors take warning. ".. I translate this to mean that red sunsets are fantastic and with them is the hope of good weather the next day..
Secondly.. South East of Cape Town is the Antarctic and cold dry air... if the Cape Doctor is expecting to blow ... then I should expect cold, clean water.. Clifton bay is a North facing beach and accordingly enjoys the benefits of being sheltered from a true S'Easter (Remember too that the cold Benguela Current is flowing in the same direction)
Thirdly..North West of Cape Town is the Tropics and warm, moist air..when this heads to Cape Town expect (as my science teacher used to say..) "condensation on a cold surface".. and messy, warmish water (..This is fighting against the direction of the cold Benguela Current..)..oh and expect rain
4th'ly..Clifton bay experiences on-shore conditions when a Southerly wind blows..translating to messy, water that tries to push everything to the beach
5th'ly..a cloud halo above Lion's Head is an indicator of rain (but then again water is wet... and swimmers expect to get wet...so the swim is on
NO matter what you think of my logic (or lack thereof) while the water is wet- opportunity exists to swim. Alongside is at best an estimate and at worst a guess..I've found it to be pretty good.. but it does remain a forecast.
Now if you want to talk about yesterday's weather...! (I tend to be a bit better at getting it right.. Clifton water was wet and I went for a swim)